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核武器与以色列

nuclear weapons of Israel

对以色列拥有核武器的猜测

Israel is widely believed to possess nuclear weapons. Estimates of Israel's stockpile range from 90 to 400 warheads, and the country is believed to possess a nuclear triad of delivery options by air, land, and sea. Its first deliverable nuclear weapon is estimated to have been completed in late 1966 or early 1967, which would have made it the sixth of nine nuclear-armed countries.

摘自英文维基百科「Nuclear weapons of Israel」(英文维基百科,暂无中文条目),CC BY-SA 4.0

类型
假说
属于
以色列核计划
上级概念
以色列与大规模杀伤性武器
组成部分
deployed nuclear warhead、stored nuclear warhead、retired nuclear warhead

百科正文

本条目暂无中文维基百科条目,下面是英文维基百科原文。

Israel's nuclear weapons delivery systems are estimated to include between 25 and 100 of the Jericho series of medium to intercontinental range ballistic missiles, five Dolphin-class submarines, with a total of 20 launch tubes for the Popeye Turbo submarine-launched cruise missile, and one squadron each of F-15 and F-16 fighters. Israel is also believed to have developed neutron bomb warheads and nuclear artillery rounds.

Israel maintains a policy of deliberate ambiguity, neither formally denying nor admitting to having nuclear weapons, instead repeating over the years that "Israel will not be the first country to introduce nuclear weapons to the Middle East". Israel interprets "introduce" to mean it will not test or formally acknowledge its nuclear arsenal. Western governments, including the United States, similarly do not acknowledge the Israeli capacity. Israeli officials, including prime ministers, have made statements that seemed to imply that Israel possesses nuclear weapons, including discussions of use in the Gaza war. It is believed that nuclear command and control decisions, including launch authorization, must be jointly agreed by the prime minister and the minister of defense, and that Israel uses permissive action links to secure its warheads.

Citing security threats, Israel rejects consistent international pressure to accede to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons or to participate in negotiations of a Middle East weapons of mass destruction free zone. Under its Begin Doctrine, Israel carries out preventive strikes against regional actors it suspects of developing nuclear weapons. The Israeli Air Force conducted Operation Opera and Operation Orchard, which destroyed pre-critical Iraqi and Syrian nuclear reactors in 1981 and 2007, respectively. Israel and the United States have extensively targeted Iran's nuclear program, with airstrikes during their 2025 war and 2026 war, as well as malware and assassinations since 2010. The Samson Option refers to Israel's ability to use nuclear weapons as a deterrence strategy in the face of existential military threats to the nation.

Israel began to investigate nuclear-related science soon after it declared independence in 1948, and, with French cooperation, secretly began building the Negev Nuclear Research Center, a facility near Dimona housing a nuclear reactor and reprocessing plant in the late 1950s. During the Six-Day War, Israel aborted a plan to demonstrate a nuclear weapon in the occupied Sinai. There is some evidence Israel increased its nuclear readiness during the Yom Kippur War and the Gulf War. The 1979 Vela incident is widely suspected to have been an Israeli nuclear test, in collaboration with South Africa. The first extensive media coverage came via the 1986 revelations by Mordechai Vanunu, a former Dimona technician. Vanunu was soon kidnapped by Mossad from Italy, brought back to Israel, and imprisoned for 18 years for treason and espionage. Israel is also suspected to possess offensive chemical and biological weapons.

Missile defense

For long-range missile defense, the US and Israel jointly developed the Arrow 3, operational since 2017, which is capable of exoatmospheric mid-course interceptions. A total of 24 interceptors are planned for the system. The Arrow 3 could potentially operate as an anti-satellite missile. For early warning, as of 2012, Israel deploys at least three EL/M-2080 Green Pine radars, one of which is the more advanced Block-B/"Great Pine" variant.

以上节选摘自英文维基百科「Nuclear weapons of Israel」,按 CC BY-SA 4.0 使用,去掉了参考文献、外部链接等尾部小节,公式改写成了纯文本。篇幅所限,较长的小节只摘了开头一部分,有的小节没有收;全文、配图和出处见原文。

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